← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Flora of Bermuda
MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Flora of Bermuda (SR 126, 15/8) is the clear standout in this six-runner Group 2. She holds a meaningful SR advantage of at least 11 points over every rival, and her form string 101102 shows consistent winning at this level — the last six runs include three victories. Critically, she holds confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's 7f on good-to-firm Newmarket, and she already has a course win and place (W1P1) here. Running off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=), Andrew Balding's yard has clearly targeted this race with her — she is the stable's #1 runner over stablemate Never So Brave, evidenced by the superior jockey booking of James Doyle (21% strike rate, 1197 runners) versus Oisin Murphy on the lower-rated Balding second string. Each-way alternative: Pina Sonata. Main danger: Never So Brave — Never So Brave has steamed 20% in the market (Mkt:in20%), Oisin Murphy takes the ride, GoingFit:+ is confirmed, and MarkMv:-3 means he is running off a lower mark than his last win — the stable clearly believes he is better than his recent 552656 form suggests.
Full result
Winner: Never So Brave (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Never So Brave Fox #2 9/2
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2
Flora of Bermuda Fox #1 13/8
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3
Time To Turn 7/2
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4
Witness Stand 9/1
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5
Pina Sonata Fox #3 6/1
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6
Holguin 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3