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Mr Fox’s call
Bold Shout
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Bold Shout carries the highest SR in the field at 77 — a clear ability edge over the next-best Red Hat Eagle (71) and Zero Carbon (67) — and does so off a competitive 9-10, meaning he's not top-weighted despite his class advantage. The market has moved aggressively in his favour, shortening 23% from opening, which in a 14-runner Class 5 handicap is a significant signal. Trainer Clive Cox runs at a 17% career strike rate (the best among all trainers here) and the form string 441384 shows consistent competitiveness with a recent win; that last digit '4' keeps him in handicap reach. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:? are mild concerns on the going, but Kempton's Polytrack at 7f softens the ground impact considerably on an all-weather surface. Each-way alternative: Red Hat Eagle. Main danger: Zero Carbon — Zero Carbon has a remarkable course record of W4P8 at Kempton, is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), has had 16lb shaved from his mark since his last win (MarkMv:-16), and has steamed in 41% in the market — that combination of course speciality and dramatic market support cannot be ignored despite the 156-day absence and poor going record.
Full result
Winner: Phoenix Of Dreams (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Phoenix of Dreams 9/1
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2
Bold Shout Fox #1 5/2
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3
Angels' Share 15/2
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4
Strong Voice 11/2
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5
Red Hat Eagle Fox #2 4/1
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6
Flash Rascal 33/1
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7
Santiago Boy Fox #4 10/1
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8
San Juanito 33/1
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9
Rey de La Batalla 22/1
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10
Loquella 33/1
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11
Manhattan Chute 33/1
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—
Zero Carbon Fox #3 10/1
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—
Yachtsman 16/1
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—
Majestic Wave 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bold Shout 11/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Red Hat Eagle 4/1 5TH
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3
Zero Carbon 9/1
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4
Santiago Boy 9/1 7TH