← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Captive Beauty
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Captive Beauty holds the joint-top SR in the field at 61, but crucially is backed by the most compelling market signal: a 19% market shortening to 13/2, the strongest inward move among any horse with genuine SR credentials. The DistFit:~ confirms moderate record at the mile, and while the form string 602830 is mixed, the last-run '0' on AW is worth contextualising — this is a Class 6 field where the ceiling is low. Weight at 9-9 is manageable, and Ross Burdon's 12% strike rate is respectable for this level. The combination of top SR, meaningful market support, and competitive weight makes this the clearest signal in a wide-open sprint of a race. Each-way alternative: Arvana Belle. Main danger: Arvana Belle — Arvana Belle holds the field's highest SR at 63, and at 4/1 is the market's clear favourite — despite a 13% drift the price still implies ~20% probability, the DistFit:~ at the mile is workable, and the consistent form string 542522 shows a horse knocking on the door who could finally convert at this level.
Full result
Winner: Girls Allowed (IRE) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Girls Allowed 33/1
-
2
Captive Beauty Fox #1 13/2
-
3
Positive Thoughts 3/1
-
4
Wild Rosie 11/1
-
5
Grey Sands 20/1
-
6
Arvana Belle Fox #2 9/2
-
7
Alice's Influence 11/1
-
8
Lihou Lady 18/1
-
9
Ernie McCrew 10/1
-
10
Miss Mambo 11/1
-
11
Grand Vista Fox #3 10/1
-
12
Call Alert 100/1
-
13
Henfield Fox #4 13/2
-
—
Twilight Baby -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Captive Beauty 13/2 🥈 2ND
-
2
Arvana Belle 4/1 6TH
-
3
Grand Vista 17/2 11TH
-
4
Henfield 10/1 13TH