← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Alan Bushell Racing Remembers Alan Davies Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Getarose
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Getarose (SR:96, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win, with the market shortening 16% since opening — the money is backing the form. Carrying 10-9 gives her a significant weight advantage over Reel Orange (SR:99 but 11-7, conceding 12lb) and Sheezer Diva (11-13, drifted 38%). Running off a mark 4lb higher than her last win is a modest penalty for a mare in form; trainer Mrs C. Williams has the yard's clear #1 here with Adam Wedge (15% strike rate) aboard rather than the second-string Conor Ring on stablemate Freddiemissmolli. The distance fit is moderate (DistFit:~) rather than proven, but the combination of top SR, recent winning form, weight advantage, and steaming market makes this the most compelling case in the field. Each-way alternative: Reel Orange. Main danger: Reel Orange — Reel Orange (SR:99, 9/2) is actually the highest-rated runner in the field and has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) with a moderate going record (GoingFit:~), and while carrying 11-7 is a burden, Freddie Gingell's 23% career strike rate keeps this firmly in the danger column.
Full result
Winner: Reel Orange (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Reel Orange Fox #2 5/1
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2
Sheezer Diva Fox #3 4/1
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3
Getarose Fox #1 5/2
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4
Freddiemissmolli 25/1
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5
Eremenko 25/1
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6
Burning Embers 25/1
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7
Clear Sky 66/1
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Siorai 7/1
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Adba Fox #4 17/2
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Georgia's Charm 11/2
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Dalcassian Girl 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Getarose 7/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Reel Orange 9/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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3
Sheezer Diva 7/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Adba 9/1