← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
DragonBet Persian War Novices' Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Cosmic Connection
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Cosmic Connection (SR 149, 5/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The SR of 149 is a full 18 points clear of the next-best Lord Byron (SR 147) and 20 points clear of North Shore (SR 129), making this a class edge that is hard to overcome in a novice Grade 2 with all runners on equal weight. The market has backed this horse in by 24% since opening — strong, sustained money in a competitive novice hurdle is a significant signal. A form line of 11211- shows only consistent presence at or near the head of affairs, and there is no weight disadvantage to speak of: Cosmic Connection carries 11-0 alongside the majority of the field. The absent connections data (no Days since last run shown) does not alarm — the market move of 24% inward confirms connections are satisfied with readiness. Each-way alternative: La Cote Fleurie. Main danger: Lord Byron — Lord Byron (SR 147, 11/4) has the second-highest SR in the field, carries 2lb less than the majority at 10-12, and Harry Cobden (22% strike rate, 868 runners) is a major booking — however, a GoingFit:- flag on today's Good to Soft and a form string of 44542- showing consistent near-misses rather than winning form make him the danger rather than the selection.
Full result
Winner: West Hill Verde (FR) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
West Hill Verde 25/1
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2
La Cote Fleurie Fox #3 15/2
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3
Lock Stock 12/1
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4
North Shore Fox #4 13/2
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5
Hopeful Hero 50/1
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6
Lord Byron Fox #2 11/4
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7
Obsessedwithyou 80/1
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8
Chicker 50/1
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9
Cosmic Connection Fox #1 11/8
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10
Le Moulin Rouge 16/1
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—
Handmedownastar 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Cosmic Connection 5/4 9TH
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2
Lord Byron 11/4 6TH
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3
La Cote Fleurie 17/2 🥈 2ND
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4
North Shore 6/1 🏁 4TH