← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tractor Drivers Go Free On 12th November Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Port Glen One
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 8/11F Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Port Glen One (SR:162, 4/6) is the class standout in a 4-runner novice, carrying just 11-0 and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (17% career strike rate, 1009 runners). The SR of 162 is comfortably top-class on the 0-200 scale and dwarfs the next-best by 4 points. The 38% market inward move is the strongest steaming signal in the field and suggests strong stable confidence behind this debut hurdler — the form string '1-' shows a win on the flat/point-to-point and the connections clearly believe this trip and track suit. The only caveat is DistFit:? and GoingFit:? (limited hurdling sample), which is why this is Medium rather than High confidence, but the raw SR gap and market move are too compelling to oppose. Each-way alternative: Downtown Nashville. Main danger: Downtown Nashville — Downtown Nashville (SR:158, 7/2) is trained by Olly Murphy (23% strike rate, 1809 runners) and ridden by Sean Bowen (24%, 2390 runners) — the most powerful connections combo in the race — has GoingFit:+ confirming course competence on today's ground, and the market has steamed 42% inward, suggesting the yard is particularly bullish about this assignment.
Full result
Winner: Port Glen One (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Port Glen One Fox #1 4/6
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2
Downtown Nashville Fox #2 9/2
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3
Who's Glen 11/4
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Nightflyer Fox #3 13/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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3