← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tennent's Lager Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Eye of Dubai
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Eye of Dubai (SR 88, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 10-0, giving it a 2lb edge over Topwarrior (SR 84, 9-12) while holding a clear SR advantage over the rest. Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability in heavy ground — a decisive edge in these conditions where several rivals carry GoingFit:? — and Course:W1P2 underlines familiarity with Ayr. The market has shortened 15% since opening, which is meaningful support that corroborates the form case. Dropping two classes (ClassMv:↓2) should mean this is comfortably within its range, and while MarkMv:+5 is a slight negative, the class drop more than compensates. Each-way alternative: Parisiac. Main danger: Parisiac — Parisiac (SR 84, 4/1) has an outstanding Course:W2P5 record at Ayr — the best course form in the field — and has steamed 20% in the market, suggesting local connections believe today's conditions suit despite the GoingFit:? flag.
Full result
Winner: Alpha Magic (GB) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alpha Magic 11/1
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2
Eye of Dubai Fox #1 3/1
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3
Stirrup Cup 12/1
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4
Topwarrior Fox #4 10/3
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5
Dandy Magic Fox #3 7/1
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6
Parisiac Fox #2 4/1
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7
Gentle George 40/1
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8
Annie Edson Taylor 9/1
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9
Big Fun 33/1
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10
Arduis Invicta 14/1
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11
Manila Scouse 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Eye of Dubai 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Parisiac 4/1 6TH
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3
Dandy Magic 6/1 5TH
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4
Topwarrior 9/2 🏁 4TH