← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Moyanna
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Moyanna carries the highest SR in the field at 111 — a clear 5-point gap over Cumnock (SR:106) and 16 points over the next best — and is trained by Tom George (19% strike rate, a strong NH yard) with Brian Hughes aboard (19%, 967 career runners), a top-tier northern jockey pairing that commands respect. At 9/4 joint-favourite in a 7-runner mares' bumper, the market is pricing her as a serious player and there is no drift to worry about. Cumnock (SR:106) shares the price but has drifted 12% from opening, which is a mild concern and tips the scales toward Moyanna. The form figures across this field are thin given most runners are bumper novices with limited data, but on SR and connections alone Moyanna is the standout. Each-way alternative: Cumnock. Main danger: Cumnock — Cumnock (SR:106, 9/4) has course form (W0P1 at Sedgefield), a strong trainer strike rate of 20% from a smaller but productive yard, and shares the market price — the 12% drift is modest and may simply reflect market balancing rather than any genuine negative signal.
Full result
Winner: Youlooklikeyourmum (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Youlooklikeyourmum Fox #3 11/2
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2
Lady Scarphia 10/1
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3
Moyanna Fox #1 13/8
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4
Cumnock Fox #2 5/2
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5
Ace Artist Fox #4 8/1
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6
Bonnie Beacon 10/1
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7
Starlet Du Brizais 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4