← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Asadjumeirah
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Asadjumeirah holds the clear SR lead at 64 in a field where the next best (King Cherry at 59) is drifting badly (Mkt:out9%) with confirmed poor distance and going fit (DistFit:- GoingFit:-). The 8-year-old carries a manageable 9-1 — the lightest weight among the top SR horses — and runs off a mark 6lb below his last win (MarkMv:-6), which is a genuine handicapper's advantage. Course form is strong at W1P3 from prior Nottingham visits, and while the 36% market drift is a concern, this is identified as Brittain's stable #1 and the drift is more likely an apprentice-race liquidity artefact than a genuine negative signal. The opposition simply lacks the SR or the positive fitness flags to mount a credible challenge. Each-way alternative: Imagine That. Main danger: Imagine That — Imagine That (SR:56, 6/1) has steamed in 31% from its opening price — the most significant market move among the shortlist — and at 3 years old over this trip in a Class 6 handicap, its progressive profile and strong punter support suggest connections expect a big run at a fair price.
Full result
Winner: Drish Samphire (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Drish Samphire 12/1
-
2
Desert Master 12/1
-
3
Asadjumeirah Fox #1 5/1
-
4
Rambuso Creek 8/1
-
5
Imagine That Fox #2 5/1
-
6
My Boy Jack 8/1
-
7
Golden Prosperity 8/1
-
8
Bleep Test 11/1
-
9
Nad Alshiba Snow 50/1
-
10
Golden Harvest 12/1
-
11
King Cherry Fox #3 3/1
-
12
Hidden Verse 33/1
-
13
My Dad Tom 50/1
-
14
Captain Bentley 125/1
-
—
The Feminine Urge Fox #4 10/1
-
—
Hope And Joy 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Asadjumeirah 5/1 🥉 3RD
-
2
Imagine That 6/1 5TH
-
3
King Cherry 7/2 11TH
-
4
The Feminine Urge 11/1