← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Royal County Glory
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 5/6F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Royal County Glory (SR:80, 15/8) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in a moderate Class 6 field — a 12-point SR gap over Seeing Stars is substantial at this level. The market has firmed 8% since opening, and Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate from 2,747 rides) is a significant booking for a Class 6 handicap, suggesting connections are serious. The form string ending in '9' is the one concern, but the preceding '11' shows a horse capable of winning, and the drop back to this class (ClassMv:=) keeps the mark manageable at +3 above last win. DistFit:~ at the 7f trip is adequate, and Murphy's record at keeping horses balanced on AW surfaces makes this a credible call. Each-way alternative: Seeing Stars. Main danger: Seeing Stars — Seeing Stars (SR:68, 11/4) has steamed in 29% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — carries a MarkMv:-5 drop to a mark well below its last win, holds course form (W1P1 at Kempton), and drops a class, all of which point to connections expecting a big run.
Full result
Winner: Royal County Glory (IRE) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Royal County Glory Fox #1 7/4
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2
Credit Forgedd It 14/1
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3
Because We Can Fox #3 8/1
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4
Seeing Stars Fox #2 11/4
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5
Cixi 12/1
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6
Black Endeavour 20/1
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7
Oddjob 14/1
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8
Station Bar 22/1
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9
Senor Campanaro 22/1
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10
Upsomdowns 18/1
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11
For Ever Hopefull 50/1
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12
Barbuda Bay 33/1
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13
Surgeon Commander 20/1
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14
Mojito 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Royal County Glory 15/8 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Seeing Stars 11/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Because We Can 17/2 🥉 3RD