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17:00 Kempton (AW) Wed 07 Oct 2026 0m7f0y Class 5 Good to Soft 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Caragio

SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 6/5F Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Caragio (SR:81, 2/1) is the top-rated horse in this field and carries the lightest weight among the leading contenders at 9-8, giving him a meaningful lbs advantage over Silver Trumpet (10-0) and Arantes Nascimento (9-13). The market has moved emphatically in his favour — a 22% inward move is the strongest steam in the race and the money appears to be following a legitimate case. He has course form (W1P1 at Kempton) and trainer Adam Kirby runs a yard striking at 12%. The primary concern is DistFit:- at this 7f trip on the AW, but the weight edge, top SR, and aggressive market support outweigh that reservation in a modest Class 5 field. Each-way alternative: Arantes Nascimento. Main danger: Silver Trumpet — Silver Trumpet (SR:80) drops a class, holds course form (W1P1 at Kempton), and despite drifting 9% is the second-highest rated runner — if the blinkers (HG:b) sharpen him up at this track he is the most likely rival to Caragio.

Verify· #22047

Full result

Winner: Caragio (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Caragio Fox #1 Adam Kirby · Taryn Langley 15/8
2 Timely Affair William Knight · Toby Moore(3) 5/1
3 Lady Manzor Fox #4 Amanda Perrett · Charlie Tucker(3) 13/2
4 Strike Jonathan Portman · Olivia Tubb 20/1
5 Arantes Nascimento Fox #3 Michael Attwater · James Glennon(5) 8/1
6 Cuban Lady Patrick Chamings · Isobelle Chalmers(5) 12/1
7 Silver Trumpet Fox #2 Eve Johnson Houghton · Oliver Carmichael(3) 10/3
8 Receipt Tom Ellis · Alfie Redman(3) 33/1
— Nezeeh Jim & Suzi Best · Owen Lewis 80/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Caragio 2/1 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
2 Silver Trumpet 10/3 7TH
3 Arantes Nascimento 7/1 5TH
4 Lady Manzor 6/1 🥉 3RD