Dubai Racing Club Nursery Handicap Stakes

16:50 Newmarket Sat 10 Oct 2026 0m7f0y Class 3 Good 19 runners

Mr Fox’s call

National Honour

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 Est. 38%

Mr Fox says

National Honour (SR:102, 11/10) is the standout by a significant margin — SR 4 points clear of the next-best Majestic Jude (SR:98) and 11 points ahead of Silver Sovereign (SR:91). The form string 211 shows a consistent and improving juvenile, running at Class 3 (same class as last run, MarkMv:+5 manageable), and carries a light 9-4. The decisive signal is the market: Mkt:in29% — a 29% shortening from the opening price is a very strong indicator of professional confidence, backed by trainer Charlie Appleby (33% strike rate, the highest in the field) and jockey William Buick (25% strike rate). Appleby at 33% means one-in-three runners win; with Buick aboard and significant market support, this is a formbook-and-money alignment that is hard to oppose. Each-way alternative: Midgham Man. Main danger: Majestic Jude — Majestic Jude (SR:98, 10/3) is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate) with Cieren Fallon up (18%), shows a 511 form line with two consecutive wins, holds a DistFit:+ flag, and is narrowly second in the SR rankings — if National Honour is flattered by its mark or encounters any traffic trouble, Majestic Jude is primed to capitalise.

Verify· #22691

Full result

Winner: Midgham Man (GB) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.