← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Naval Tribute
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/1 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Naval Tribute (SR:76, 9/1) is the most compelling multi-signal case in this enormous field. The form string 171211 — read right-to-left — shows four wins in the last six starts including the most recent run, indicating a horse at the peak of its powers. Trainer James Owen fires at 19% from 2,271 runners, a strong stable strike rate, and critically the market has steamed in 56% since opening — by far the most aggressive move in the field among horses with realistic odds, signalling informed confidence. At 8-9 carrying a relatively light weight versus heavier-burdened rivals at the top of the handicap, and GoingFit:+ confirming suitability to today's good ground, the overall case is robust. The step up two class tiers (ClassMv:↑2) is the main reservation, but the consistent winning form and dramatic market support outweigh that concern in a race where most rivals carry question marks over distance and going. Each-way alternative: Sea Lantern. Main danger: Sea Lantern — Sea Lantern (SR:84, 5/1) carries the second-highest SR among realistic contenders, has a pristine recent form line of 31-31, GoingFit:+ confirms good-ground suitability, and at 8-13 enjoys a significant weight advantage over heavier rivals — Brian Ellison's yard at 10% is modest but the horse's own profile is the strongest factual case against Naval Tribute.
Full result
Winner: Alphonse Le Grande at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alphonse Le Grande SP 18/1
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2
Sea Lantern Fox #2 11/2
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3
Dawn Rising 11/2
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4
High Fibre 14/1
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5
Berkshire Sundance 40/1
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6
Kirchner Fox #4 9/1
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7
Beylerbeyi Fox #3 5/1
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8
Pole Star 66/1
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9
Gooloogong 40/1
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10
Mountain Road 10/1
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11
Tashkhan 125/1
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12
Dream On Baby 14/1
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13
Vaguely Royal 150/1
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14
Naval Tribute Fox #1 11/1
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15
Percy Shelley 40/1
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16
Align The Stars 66/1
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17
Manxman 18/1
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18
Shrimp Shady 33/1
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19
Wahraan 125/1
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20
Cock And Bull 14/1
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21
Valedictory 12/1
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22
Letsbefrank 28/1
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23
Bahadur 80/1
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24
Tactician 33/1
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25
Premiere Ligne 20/1
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26
Highwind 28/1
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27
Appier 200/1
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28
Sax Appeal 100/1
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29
Reverend Hubert 22/1
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Kizlyar
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Maxident
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Aqwaam
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Daddy Long Legs
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Evaluation
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Light Up The Dark
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Moon Over Miami
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Reem Rak
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Ride The Thunder
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Sea of Kings
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Winday
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Squire Danagher
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A Piece Of Heaven
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Absurde
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Love Me Tender
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Minstrel Knight
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Rogue Empire
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Maxi King
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Moon Angel
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Mordor
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Pappano
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Puturhandstogether
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Temporize
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Samui
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Senor Cortez
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Sky Captain
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Small Fry
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An Bradan Feasa
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Annabel's Ghost
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Barnso
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Bay of Stars
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Believitanducan
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Blazeon Five
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Boatswain
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Bunting
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Columbus
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Eben Zaabeel
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Fireblade
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Galileo Dame
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Goblet of Fire
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Green Sky
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Kingstonian
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Comfort Zone
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Hopewell Rock
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Lavender Hill Mob
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Spasiba
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Square Necker
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St Mawes
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Synergism
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Team Player
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Too Bossy For Us
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True Legend
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Uxmal
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Valiancy
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Way Of Stars
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Westminster Moon
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Wild Waves
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Zanndabad
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Royal Saxo
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Nightime Dancer
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Reaching High
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Defiantly
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Delta
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Sirius
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The Reverend
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Naval Tribute 9/1 14TH
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2
Sea Lantern 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Beylerbeyi 5/1 7TH
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4
Kirchner 9/1 6TH