← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Hauteluce
MEDIUM Advised 11/10 SP 1/1F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hauteluce (SR 91, 11/10) is the clear class-leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Dovecote (SR 81) and 15 clear of Kaaranah (SR 79). Carrying a relatively light 9-8 for a horse at the top of the ability range, with DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirming proven effectiveness at this trip and going, Ed Walker's 3yo has ticked every box. The market has reacted accordingly, shortening 16% since opening, which is the strongest directional signal in the field. Course form of W1P1 at Wolverhampton adds further specificity, and a recent form line of 5-1316 shows a win two runs ago at this level; the 6 last time can be excused as it came off a MarkMv:+4 and the steamer today suggests connections are confident that run is forgettable. Each-way alternative: Reveur. Main danger: Reveur — Reveur (SR 76, 5/1) has shortened 16% in the market matching Hauteluce's steam, jockey Billy Loughnane carries an 18% career strike rate, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) could unlock a better performance than the recent 0 last time out suggests.
Full result
Winner: Hauteluce (FR) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hauteluce Fox #1 evn
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2
Kaaranah Fox #4 8/1
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3
Eastern Veil 18/1
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4
Sant Alessio 22/1
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5
Pulsar Star 12/1
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6
Reveur Fox #3 11/2
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7
Tortured Soul 50/1
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8
Dovecote Fox #2 11/2
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9
Hamadhan 16/1
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10
Showcasing Star 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hauteluce 11/10 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Dovecote 9/2 8TH
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3
Reveur 5/1 6TH
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4
Kaaranah 15/2 🥈 2ND