← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing TV Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Golly Gosh
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Golly Gosh (SR:75, 9/4) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-0 and has been steamed into from a much bigger price — a 57% market contraction in a 4-runner field is a very loud signal that connections and informed money expect a big run. At age 5, this is the youngest and most likely progressive horse in the field with untapped upside. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean the record is unproven rather than poor, which is very different from DistFit:- (the tag Lelant and Pescatorius both carry). The trainer (13%, 121 runners) and jockey (13%, 144 runners) are both competent at this level, and a horse with no proven distance or going negatives is far more appealing than two rivals who have already demonstrated poor records at today's trip. Each-way alternative: Pescatorius. Main danger: Pescatorius — Pescatorius (SR:87, 9/4) carries a MarkMv:-2 advantage — running off a mark 2lb lower than his last win — has placed twice at Stratford (Course:W0P2) confirming course affinity, and despite the 17% drift, his recent 535-32 form shows consistent engagement at this level.
Full result
Winner: Pescatorius (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pescatorius Fox #2 3/1
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2
Golly Gosh Fox #1 15/8
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3
Expert Analysis Fox #3 2/1
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4
Lelant 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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3