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20:15 Kempton (AW) Mon 05 Oct 2026 1m3f219y Class 6 Good to Soft 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Currumbin silks

Currumbin

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Currumbin (SR:70, 9/4) is the clear class-leader in this modest Class 6 field and holds the strongest distance profile (DistFit:+), the only runner proven at today's trip. The market has steamed 21% from opening — Cieren Fallon booking (18% career strike rate, 1870 runners) reinforces that connections are confident. The MarkMv:-4 means he runs off a mark 4lb below his last win, giving a meaningful weight advantage that is compounded by his 9-8 — lighter than Super Hit (9-9) despite the higher SR. Michael Keady's 6% strike rate is modest but the horse's own consistent form (three consecutive placed efforts: 222) on an AW surface shows he handles all-weather conditions well, and the step back to today's class level suits. Each-way alternative: Lucy The Wire. Main danger: Super Hit — Super Hit (SR:64, 7/2) is the yard's declared #1 with a stronger jockey booking (Jason Watson vs Kieren Fox), holds Course:W0P3 at Kempton giving proven track familiarity, and James Owen's 19% yard strike rate is the best in the field — the 8% drift is the one concern but the course form is a genuine differentiator on this specialist AW track.

Verify· #21738

Full result

Winner: Lucy The Wire (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Lucy The Wire silks Lucy The Wire Fox #3 James Owen · Kieren Fox 11/2
  2. 2 Currumbin silks Currumbin Fox #1 Michael Keady · Cieren Fallon 9/4
  3. 3 Super Hit silks Super Hit Fox #2 James Owen · Jason Watson 7/2
  4. 4 Chesneys Charm silks Chesneys Charm Fox #4 Ivan Furtado · Oisin Orr 5/1
  5. 5 Golden Circet silks Golden Circet Jim & Suzi Best · Finley Marsh 13/2
  6. 6 Mrembo silks Mrembo Jonathan Portman · Pierre-Louis Jamin 11/1
  7. 7 Dodging The Bullet silks Dodging The Bullet Richard Bandey · William Carver 14/1
  8. 8 Letmebetheboss silks Letmebetheboss Tony Carroll · Myla Coppins(5) 50/1
  9. 9 Deferred Interest silks Deferred Interest Neil Mulholland · Tyler Heard 50/1
  10. 10 Lost In Wonder silks Lost In Wonder Camilla Poulton · Alistair Rawlinson 100/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Currumbin silks Currumbin 9/4 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Super Hit silks Super Hit 7/2 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Lucy The Wire silks Lucy The Wire 6/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Chesneys Charm silks Chesneys Charm 4/1 🏁 4TH