← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing TV Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ridger
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 4/9F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Ridger (SR:63, 4/6) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 1 SR point ahead of nearest rival Creciente (SR:62) but with significantly superior recent form: the 997231 string shows a sharp improver who won last time out. Carrying 9-7 — only 1lb more than Creciente — so the weight differential is negligible relative to the ability edge. The DistFit:~ flag is moderate rather than negative, and the 7-day turnaround from a winning run suggests connections are confident in peak fitness. At 4/6, the market is emphatically behind this selection, and with no credible market rival — Creciente is 6/1 and drifting is not flagged — this looks like a genuine favourite's race. Each-way alternative: Creciente. Main danger: Creciente — Creciente (SR:62) matches Ridger almost point-for-point on ability, carries 1lb less at 9-8, and the MarkMv:+6 suggests the handicapper has lifted the mark — but the form string 461238 shows consistent competitiveness and cheekpieces added today (HG:p) could sharpen a horse running at a mark that may not yet fully reflect its ceiling.
Full result
Winner: Ridger (IRE) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ridger Fox #1 5/6
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2
Leia Antilles 40/1
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3
Creciente Fox #2 7/1
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3
Poetic Grace Fox #3 8/1
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5
Lady V 18/1
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6
Arc La Shari 11/1
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7
Mokata 28/1
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8
Bessie Wallis 16/1
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9
Miss Gold 40/1
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10
Squashy Berry 11/1
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—
Who Is Alice 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ridger 4/6 SP 4/9F 🏆 WON
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2
Creciente 6/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Poetic Grace 13/2 🥉 3RD