← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Sparksmith
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sparksmith (SR:93, 10/3) is the clear class-leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Goldwork (SR:83) — and drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which is a significant ease in company. The market has taken notice with a 31% inward move since opening, suggesting informed money. Form of 3-2120 shows a win at second-to-last start with a close second most recently, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's 6f trip. The 185-day absence is the main risk, but Tom Clover (17% strike rate, 670 runners) is a competent handler and the market support suggests the horse is ready. Each-way alternative: Star Chorus. Main danger: Star Chorus — Star Chorus (SR:81, 9/2) has shortened 25% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-5 (5lb lower than last win), and at 9-9 has a workable weight — the combination of market support and a dropped mark on a returning horse makes it the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Star Chorus (IRE) at SP 15/8J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Star Chorus Fox #2 7/2
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2
From The Hip 20/1
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3
Moving Force 9/2
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4
Goldwork Fox #3 10/3
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5
Em Four 16/1
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6
Artanis 66/1
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7
Amazonian Dream 14/1
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8
Pixie Diva Fox #4 11/1
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9
Sparksmith Fox #1 10/3
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10
Rock Iguana 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4