← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Divilabother
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 SP 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Divilabother (SR 127, 7/2) is the class-leader in this field and carries the highest rating despite top-weight of 12-0 — a weight that is offset by a dominant recent form string (111215, with a win last time out) and proven course form (W1P2 at Uttoxeter). Critically, the market has steamed 31% since opening, the strongest move in the race, signalling significant stable confidence. The drop in class (↓1) makes this a very workable assignment, and DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 2m7f trip well. Trainer Tristan Davidson at 15% and jockey Harry Reed at 14% are reliable without being exceptional, but the combination of SR leadership, course record, class drop, and the sharpest market move in the field makes this a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Roger Pol. Main danger: Jubilant — Jubilant (SR 121, 4/1) showed a sharp return to form with a win last time out (form 516P-1) on good ground, handles today's distance and going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), and carries a favourable 11-7 versus Divilabother's 12-0 — a 7lb weight advantage that is meaningful over 2m7f.
Full result
Winner: Divilabother (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Divilabother Fox #1 4/1
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2
Roger Pol Fox #2 4/1
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3
Jubilant Fox #3 4/1
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4
Miss Goldfire 4/1
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5
Pike Road 10/1
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—
Ernest Gray 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Divilabother 7/2 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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2
Roger Pol 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Jubilant 4/1 🥉 3RD