← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Valtteri Its James
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Valtteri Its James (SR:80, 4/1) is the standout market mover in this field, steaming in 31% from opening — the strongest Mkt:in signal by a wide margin and the clearest indication of informed money in a small Class 5 conditional jockeys' hurdle. At 5 years old he is the youngest and most progressive runner, carrying just 11-7 versus top-weight Helsgetaway's 12-0 — a 7lb weight advantage over the yard's stablemate. Jack Power's 11% strike rate on 90 runners gives him a meaningful edge over the 5% booking on Helsgetaway, strongly suggesting Valtteri Its James is the Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore yard's number-one runner today. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags reflect inexperience rather than proven failure, and at 5 he has the scope to handle both. Each-way alternative: Luminaries. Main danger: Luminaries — Luminaries (SR:79, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-12, is proven at today's trip (DistFit:+), has course form (W1P1 at Kelso), and runs off a mark 18lb lower than its last win — the biggest mark drop in the field — making it highly unexposed off its current rating despite the 30% market drift.
Full result
Winner: Luminaries (IRE) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Luminaries Fox #2 4/1
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2
Malangen 15/2
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3
Valtteri Its James Fox #1 7/2
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4
Lone Star Fox #4 6/1
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5
Helsgetaway Fox #3 7/2
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6
Theirshegoes 11/1
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7
My My My Delilah 6/1
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—
Boston Queen 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Valtteri Its James 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Luminaries 7/2 SP 100/30F 🏆 WON
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3
Helsgetaway 10/3 5TH
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4
Lone Star 13/2 🏁 4TH