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Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Gaucher
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Gaucher (SR 148, 7/4) is the clear standout in this small Listed field. The Mullins/Townend combination is formidable — Mullins operates at 26% career strike rate with nearly 3,000 runners and Townend at 38% — and the market has shortened 6% since opening, confirming confidence behind the selection. GoingFit:+ confirms Gaucher handles today's good ground well, and the MarkMv:+49 is the only concern, but at Listed level there is no handicap mark in play — this is a conditions race, so that field is contextual only. The 11-9 weight is heavier than rivals on 11-2 but the SR 148 comfortably leads this field by 2lb over El Cairos (SR 146), and with tongue-tie fitted and 21 days since last run suggesting a fresh, targeted campaign, Gaucher represents the most compelling multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Ebony King. Main danger: El Cairos — El Cairos (SR 146, 11/8) is the market's second choice and sits only 2 points below Gaucher on SR at equal weight (11-2 vs 11-9), meaning it actually carries a 7lb weight advantage — if Gordon Elliott's runner finds its best form after a 65-day break and sheds the poor recent finishes (7th last time), it has the ability to challenge.
Full result
Winner: El Cairos (FR) at SP 11/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
El Cairos Fox #2 6/4
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2
Gaucher Fox #1 11/8
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3
Samui 28/1
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4
Mister Pessimistic 9/1
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Balko d'Ange 22/1
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Ebony King Fox #3 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3