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Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Stakes

20:30 Southwell (AW) Sat 03 Oct 2026 1m6f21y Class 5 Good 5 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Blue Tulip silks

Blue Tulip

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 6/5F Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Blue Tulip (SR:74, 7/4) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Shopaholic but carries a significant weight advantage at 9-2 versus Shopaholic's 10-2 — a full 14lb difference on equal ability, which on an AW surface over 1m6f is a substantial edge. Her recent form string 566132 shows a clear progressive trajectory culminating in a win, and she brings course form (W0P1 at Southwell) that confirms she handles this track. The Muir & Grassick yard runs at 11% and Jack Doughty at 13%, both respectable strike rates. The concern is a step up in class (↑1) and a GoingFit of only ~ rather than +, but the weight advantage over an already drifting favourite is the dominant factor here. Each-way alternative: Astrid. Main danger: Shopaholic — Shopaholic shares the highest SR (74) in the field, has a positive going fit, and despite drifting carries proven form — if the 14lb weight concession to Blue Tulip matters less than expected over this trip, she remains a live threat.

Verify· #21342

Full result

Winner: Blue Tulip (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Blue Tulip silks Blue Tulip Fox #1 William Muir & Chris Grassick · Jack Doughty 13/8
  2. 2 Astrid silks Astrid Fox #3 James Horton · Darragh Keenan 9/2
  3. 3 Thankyou Baroness silks Thankyou Baroness Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · Benoit de la Sayette 6/1
  4. 4 Shopaholic silks Shopaholic Fox #2 Jack Jones · Donagh Murphy(5) 15/8
  5. 5 Kindly Queen silks Kindly Queen Christopher Kellett · Christian Howarth(3) 28/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Blue Tulip silks Blue Tulip 7/4 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Shopaholic silks Shopaholic 6/4 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Astrid silks Astrid 9/2 🥈 2ND