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Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)

14:50 Redcar Sat 03 Oct 2026 1m2f1y Class 5 Good 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Lady Hornblower silks

Lady Hornblower

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 85/40F Est. 30%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Lady Hornblower (SR:72, 9/4) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and is the only runner with a course win at Redcar (W1P1), confirming she handles the track. GoingFit:+ is the single best going indicator on today's good ground, and her recent form string 698371 shows a progressive climb to a last-time-out win. Despite running off a mark 4lb higher (MarkMv:+4), the weight advantage over Hostility — 8lb less to carry at 9-8 versus 10-0 — more than compensates, particularly against a top-weight whose market has drifted 10%. The market has drifted 23% which is a concern, but this likely reflects the higher mark rather than a genuine form doubt; the underlying evidence across SR, course, going and recent win is the strongest alignment in the race. Each-way alternative: Hostility. Main danger: Hostility — Hostility (SR:69, 5/1) is the second-highest rated runner with a trainer strike rate of 13% at a yard that fires at Redcar, and while the market has drifted 10%, the Course:W0P2 record shows consistent placing at this track — enough to finish second if Lady Hornblower fails to handle the higher mark.

Verify· #21243

Full result

Winner: Lady Hornblower (GB) at SP 85/40F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Lady Hornblower silks Lady Hornblower Fox #1 Jedd O'Keeffe · Connor Beasley 9/4
  2. 2 Tommo's Ginjaninja silks Tommo's Ginjaninja Michael & David Easterby · Joanna Mason 11/1
  3. 3 Hostility silks Hostility Fox #2 David O'Meara · Conor Whiteley(5) 11/2
  4. 4 Recobella silks Recobella Fox #3 Philip Kirby · Kevin Stott 6/1
  5. 5 Alessia Fernanda silks Alessia Fernanda Declan Carroll · Cian Horgan(5) 12/1
  6. 6 Kitsune Power silks Kitsune Power Tim Easterby · Jake Dickson(5) 9/1
  7. 7 Kartini silks Kartini Simon Whitaker · Paul Mulrennan 15/2
  8. 8 Eagles Dream silks Eagles Dream Tristan Davidson · Amie Waugh(3) 14/1
  9. 9 Bay Dream Believer silks Bay Dream Believer Fox #4 Mark Walford · Jason Hart 15/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Lady Hornblower silks Lady Hornblower 9/4 SP 85/40F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Hostility silks Hostility 5/1 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Recobella silks Recobella 15/2 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Bay Dream Believer silks Bay Dream Believer 7/1 9TH