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Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Winston's Oath
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 7/4F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Winston's Oath holds the highest SR in the field at 84, carries a favourable 10-11 — a full stone lighter than top-weight Lord Virginia — and a GoingFit:~ confirms he handles today's good ground adequately. Trainer James Owen runs at a solid 19% strike rate from over 2,000 runners, and jockey Jonathan Burke (15%) is a competent partner. The recent form figure of '2' last time out (11 days ago, ClassMv:=) shows consistency at this level, and the visor headgear suggests connections are riding him positively. While DistFit:- is a flag at 2m3f, the weight advantage over the entire field is the decisive factor in a Class 5 novices' limited handicap where SRs are uniformly modest. Each-way alternative: No Mean Feat. Main danger: Lord Virginia — Lord Virginia has steamed in 29% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and carries only 11-12 despite a modest SR:75 — that market move is the strongest single signal in the race and cannot be ignored.
Full result
Winner: Winston's Oath (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Winston's Oath Fox #1 9/4
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2
County Champs 4/1
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3
Lord Virginia Fox #3 8/1
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4
Ghost Jury 10/1
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5
One For Rian 13/2
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6
No Mean Feat Fox #2 4/1
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7
Freddie Fleetfoot 28/1
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—
Blue Siam 66/1
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—
Callero 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Winston's Oath 4/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
No Mean Feat 4/1 6TH
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3
Lord Virginia 9/1 🥉 3RD