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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Crown of India
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Crown of India (SR 105, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 11-6, giving it a meaningful SR-per-pound advantage over Birthday Angel (SR 99, 11-10) and Diamond Egg (SR 95, 11-3). The market has firmed 17% since opening — the strongest inbound move in the field — which corroborates the form case rather than contradicting it. Running off a mark 6lb above its last win is a concern, but at Class 5 level the raw ability edge over rivals is significant. Alex Hales (11% yard strike rate) with Bryan Carver (13%) is a competent pairing, and the moderate GoingFit:~ on good ground is not a disqualifier given the class advantage. Each-way alternative: Birthday Angel. Main danger: A Tickatickatiming — A Tickatickatiming (SR 93, 4/1) has steamed in 28% in the market — the joint-largest inbound move in the race — carries the lightest weight at 10-13, and is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), which could offset the GoingFit:- concern if the ground rides better than advertised.
Full result
Winner: Birthday Angel (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Birthday Angel Fox #2 7/2
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2
Crown of India Fox #1 7/2
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3
Black Dakota 17/2
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4
Devon Red 5/1
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5
Diamond Egg Fox #3 13/2
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6
King of The Bronx 28/1
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7
Begin The Luck 22/1
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A Tickatickatiming Fox #4 10/3
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Desert Halo -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crown of India 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Birthday Angel 7/2 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Diamond Egg 13/2 5TH
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4
A Tickatickatiming 4/1