← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Attheraces.com/marketmovers Juvenile Hurdle (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Salkadan
MEDIUM Advised 11/10 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Salkadan (SR 107, 11/10) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. Its SR of 107 is the highest by 18 points over the next-best Our Wee Horse (SR 89), a massive edge in a Class 4 juvenile hurdle. The form string '31' — a place and a win — shows genuine ability already proven under rules, and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2534 runners) with Harry Skelton aboard (26%, 1640) is the most powerful yard-jockey combination in the race by some distance. The MarkMv:+42 flag is noted — this horse is running off a significantly higher mark — but in a juvenile hurdle of this class with untested rivals, raw ability dominates and Salkadan's SR advantage is simply too large to overcome. Each-way alternative: Our Wee Horse. Main danger: Our Wee Horse — Our Wee Horse (SR 89, 5/2) has a meaningful SR advantage over all non-Salkadan runners, Harry Derham's yard runs at 21%, and Paul O'Brien at 15% — the horse may be unexposed enough over hurdles to spring a surprise if Salkadan underperforms on its new mark.
Full result
Winner: Royal Sapphire (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Royal Sapphire Fox #3 3/1
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2
Our Wee Horse Fox #2 3/1
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3
Salkadan Fox #1 evn
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4
Antiquarian 28/1
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5
Sapphire Dream 20/1
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6
Pepper Fizz 25/1
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7
Irish Fusilier 33/1
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—
Flawless Fusion 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Salkadan 11/10 🥉 3RD
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2
Our Wee Horse 5/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Royal Sapphire 7/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON