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Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race)

13:50 Ascot Sat 03 Oct 2026 0m5f0y Class 1 Good to Firm 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Tuco Salamanca silks

Tuco Salamanca

MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 35%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Tuco Salamanca (SR 121, 9/4) is the clear class standout in this field — rated 10 points clear of the next best (Fluorescence, SR 111) and 14+ clear of most rivals. Despite stepping up one class tier (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 10lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+10), the SR advantage is commanding for a Listed sprint. Course form is excellent (W1P2 at Ascot), distance proven (DistFit:+), and the market has shortened 13% since opening — meaningful support in a competitive Listed race. Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3096 career runs — the most experienced booking in the field) is another bullish signal from Ollie Sangster's progressive yard (14% SR). The MarkMv:+10 is the one concern, but SR 121 in a field where no other runner cracks 112 means he retains a substantial ability buffer. Each-way alternative: Fluorescence. Main danger: Air Force One — Air Force One (SR 108, 8/1) has shortened 14% in the market — the joint-largest move in the field alongside Aramram — is proven at the distance (DistFit:~), wears a visor, and Geoff Oldroyd's 19% strike rate suggests quiet confidence; a big run from a mark that may underestimate current form is plausible.

Verify· #21213

Full result

Winner: Air Force One (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Air Force One silks Air Force One Fox #3 Geoff Oldroyd · P. J. McDonald 17/2
  2. 2 Regional silks Regional Edward Bethell · Clifford Lee 9/1
  3. 3 Tuco Salamanca silks Tuco Salamanca Fox #1 Ollie Sangster · Billy Loughnane 5/2
  4. 4 Fluorescence silks Fluorescence Fox #2 Edward Bethell · Daniel Tudhope 6/1
  5. 5 Baker Blue silks Baker Blue Dylan Cunha · Pat Dobbs 33/1
  6. 6 Heavenly Heather silks Heavenly Heather Tracy Waggott · Barry McHugh 16/1
  7. 7 Aramram silks Aramram Richard Hannon · Sean Levey 11/1
  8. 8 Shagraan silks Shagraan Fox #4 Clive Cox · Kieran Shoemark 5/1
  9. 9 King of Light silks King of Light Stuart Williams · Lewis Edmunds 28/1
  10. 10 First Instinct silks First Instinct William Haggas · Harry Davies 12/1
  11. 11 Lifeplan silks Lifeplan Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley 10/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tuco Salamanca silks Tuco Salamanca 9/4 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Fluorescence silks Fluorescence 7/1 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Air Force One silks Air Force One 8/1 SP 17/2 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Shagraan silks Shagraan 5/1 8TH