← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Gino Bella
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 11/4 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Gino Bella (SR:128, 5/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and arrives carrying the joint-lowest weight at 10-7, a meaningful advantage over top-weight Daboya (11-1) and Royal Hollow (10-11). The form string P-3113 shows three consecutive placings culminating in back-to-back wins, and crucially both GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm she handles today's good ground and 2m trip. The market has backed her in 19% since opening — the strongest positive move in the field — which corroborates the form signals and suggests informed money is on board. Alan O'Sullivan has a respectable 9% strike rate on a horse in peak form, making this a well-aligned package of SR, weight, going, distance and market. Each-way alternative: Royal Hollow. Main danger: Royal Hollow — Royal Hollow (SR:123, 6/5) has an outstanding Course:W1P3 record at Gowran Park, DistFit:+ confirms suitability to today's trip, the mark is down 4lb below her last win (MarkMv:-4), and a 7% market shortening confirms significant support — she's the obvious threat but SR:123 versus Gino Bella's SR:128 at the same weight is the edge that keeps her second.
Full result
Winner: Gino Bella (IRE) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gino Bella Fox #1 9/4
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2
Daboya Fox #4 17/2
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3
Speisialta Fox #3 5/1
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4
Likealightswitch 12/1
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5
Royal Hollow Fox #2 6/4
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6
A Law Of Her Own 12/1
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—
Sopelana 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gino Bella 5/2 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
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2
Royal Hollow 6/5 5TH
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3
Speisialta 6/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Daboya 9/1 🥈 2ND