← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Honour Your Dreams
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Honour Your Dreams (SR:61, 9/2) holds the highest SR in the field and combines that ability edge with the most significant class drop available — falling four tiers (ClassMv:↓4) while running off a mark 21lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-21), a combination that screams handicapper's gift. The market has responded emphatically, shortening 30% from opening (Mkt:in30%), which is the strongest market move of any runner here and corroborates the form case. Course:W0P3 at Wolverhampton shows familiarity with the track, and the tongue-tie (HG:t) is retained from recent runs. Trainer Attwater at 9% overall is modest but the class-drop and mark-drop make this runner structurally too well-placed to ignore, and jockey Kieren Fox retains the ride with market backing. Each-way alternative: Phoenix Beach. Main danger: Phoenix Beach — Phoenix Beach (SR:57, 11/2) has an outstanding course record of W4P14 at Wolverhampton — the most proven course specialist in the field — drops 20lb from last win (MarkMv:-20), carries a light 9-3, and has shortened 11% in the market, suggesting the yard believes conditions are right despite the recent '4' last time out.
Full result
Winner: Sheik Yerbouti (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sheik Yerbouti 9/1
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2
Honour Your Dreams Fox #1 4/1
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3
Phoenix Beach Fox #2 7/2
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4
Cabeza de Llave 6/1
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5
Spirited Dancer 10/1
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6
Hvar Fox #4 8/1
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7
Banana 33/1
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8
Black Cab Fox #3 15/2
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9
Fancy Dancer 6/1
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10
Teardrops 20/1
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11
Lady Bouquet 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Honour Your Dreams 9/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Phoenix Beach 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Black Cab 6/1 8TH
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4
Hvar 17/2 6TH