← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Campenaerts
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Campenaerts (SR:74, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Queen Sana and carries the second-lightest weight at 9-9, giving it a tangible lbs advantage over most rivals. The MarkMv:-4 signals it is running off a mark 4lb lower than its last win — a clear handicapper's gift — and the course form (W1P2) at Wolverhampton is a meaningful advantage on a track where familiarity counts. The 6% market shortening suggests steady professional support rather than panic money, aligning with the connections case. The one genuine concern is DistFit:- at this 6f20y trip, but the mark reduction and weight relief provide material compensation, and the recent form string (-69782) shows progressive improvement in finishing positions. Each-way alternative: Queen Sana. Main danger: Queen Sana — Queen Sana (SR:74, 9/2) matches Campenaerts on ability, has a proven DistFit:+ at this trip and won last time out (form ending in 1), so Billy Loughnane — one of the busiest and most effective apprentices in Britain — could exploit that course-and-distance fitness even if the market drift to 9/2 from a shorter morning price is a mild concern.
Full result
Winner: Phoenix Moon (IRE) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Phoenix Moon 20/1
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2
Arishka's Dream 8/1
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3
Shaw Park 7/1
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4
Campenaerts Fox #1 5/2
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5
Montpellier Green 16/1
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6
Lamlash Bay Fox #3 5/1
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7
Far Too Fizzy Fox #4 5/1
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8
Early Release 40/1
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9
Fordham Flyer 40/1
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10
Queen Sana Fox #2 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Campenaerts 11/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Queen Sana 9/2 10TH
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3
Lamlash Bay 5/1 6TH
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4
Far Too Fizzy 9/2 7TH