← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
He's Our Cracker
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 SP 5/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
He's Our Cracker (SR:59, 9/2) is the standout pick combining the most compelling cluster of signals in a weak Class 6 field. The market has steamered in 38% — the most dramatic move in the race — which strongly suggests stable confidence after a 79-day freshener. Jennie Candlish (17% strike rate) and Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate) are a high-quality booking for this level, and dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) on the same official mark (MarkMv:=) means the horse is now fractionally well-handicapped relative to the competition. Although the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are noted, this AW surface at Newcastle on Good going is the mildest form of those negative flags, and the class relief plus market confidence overrule them here. Each-way alternative: Haltonwood. Main danger: Haltonwood — Haltonwood (SR:64, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has shortened 19% in the market, but a 120-day absence and the GoingFit:- flag introduce enough risk to keep it off the top spot — if it bounces back fresh it is capable of winning this outright.
Full result
Winner: He's Our Cracker (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
He's Our Cracker Fox #1 9/2
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2
Typeface Fox #3 5/1
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3
Sandret Fox #4 4/1
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4
Hill O Rue 9/1
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5
Haltonwood Fox #2 7/2
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6
Kameel 5/1
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7
Tiberio Force 9/1
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8
The Floors Munky 100/1
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9
Mystic Wave 80/1
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—
Bergamo Gold 5/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4