← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Gemini Man
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Gemini Man (SR:67, 11/4) carries only 9-6 — 6lb less than top-weight Koko Blue — and is the second-highest SR in the field by a clear margin, with a market that has shortened 19% since opening, indicating money behind him. His Course:W1P3 record at Newcastle is a strong positive, and ClassMv:= confirms he's comfortable at this level. The form string 924242 shows consistent placing and a recent 4-2-2 sequence that suggests he's hitting peak condition; only a +2 mark rise since last win and the going (GoingFit:~) is manageable. The drift on favourite Koko Blue (out 15%) combined with a MarkMv:+8 penalty running off a mark 8lb above last win makes Gemini Man the smarter play at the current price. Each-way alternative: Distinction. Main danger: Koko Blue — Koko Blue holds the field's highest SR (69), has Course:W1P1 at Newcastle, a confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — if the market drift is simply noise from a slow morning, his class edge could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Koko Blue (GB) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Koko Blue Fox #2 9/4
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2
We've Got This 17/2
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3
Gemini Man Fox #1 15/8
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4
Daring Leader Fox #4 16/1
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5
Dinah Myte 12/1
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6
Distinction Fox #3 9/1
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7
Millbuie 16/1
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8
Jetpack Jimmy 16/1
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9
Sovereign Bright 12/1
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10
Rajawail 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4