Lee "Bazza" Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase

17:08 Hexham Fri 02 Oct 2026 3m0f41y Class 5 Good 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ballydangan

SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 28%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Ballydangan (SR 69, 17/2) is the most compelling case despite a modest SR, driven by two overlapping signals that carry genuine weight: a Course:W2P4 record at Hexham showing proven track specialist ability, and a market move of Mkt:in33% — the sharpest steam in this field by a wide margin, suggesting informed money is backing it emphatically. The MarkMv:-4 mark drop aids the case, and while GoingFit:- is a concern, good ground is not as extreme a variant as soft/heavy. At 17/2 with 33% market support, the connections signal is too strong to ignore in a weak Class 5 field of seven. Each-way alternative: Uncle Al. Main danger: Uncle Al — Uncle Al (SR 78, 11/2) holds DistFit:+ at today's 3m trip, has Course:W0P1 at Hexham, GoingFit:~ suggests moderate ground tolerance, and jockey Paul O'Brien's 15% career strike rate gives genuine competence in the saddle — a form line of P163U2 shows a placed effort recently and the price represents fair value.

Verify· #21090

Full result

Winner: Stay Hopeful (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Stay Hopeful Cian Collins · Sean Bowen 5/6
2 Deadheat Sean McParlan · Mr N. McParlan(3) 9/1
3 Uncle Al Fox #2 Jessica Bedi · Paul O'Brien 5/1
4 Super Citizen Lucinda Hughes · Brian Hughes 12/1
5 Lights Are Green Fox #3 George Bewley · Jonathon Bewley 8/1
6 Croagh Patrick Gillian Boanas · William Maggs(3) 25/1
7 Ballydangan Fox #1 Hugh Burns · Peter Kavanagh 11/1
— Valette Susan Corbett · Nathan Moscrop -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Ballydangan 17/2 7TH
2 Uncle Al 11/2 🥉 3RD
3 Lights Are Green 15/2 5TH