← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
David Clarke Memorial 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Ride Like A Girl
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/6 SP 4/6F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Ride Like A Girl (SR:118, 5/6) carries the strongest combination of proven fitness signals in this field despite sitting below Dark Tide Rising on the SR scale. Her DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's exact conditions — 2m good ground — while Dark Tide Rising (SR:155) shows DistFit:? and GoingFit:? meaning her ability at this trip on this going is unproven. The 26% market drift on Dark Tide Rising is a significant red flag that connections themselves may not be fully confident, whereas Ride Like A Girl's trainer Jamie Snowden strikes at 26% (828 runners) and Gavin Sheehan at 23% (1,287 runners) — a high-quality booking that signals genuine intent. The form line 44-122 shows a progressive trajectory into this novice hurdle, and the MarkMv:+7 is manageable given the class is only Class 4. Each-way alternative: Dark Tide Rising. Main danger: Dark Tide Rising — SR:155 is comfortably the highest in the field and at 15/8 the market still has it as a clear second favourite — if the trip and going prove no issue on debut over hurdles at this distance, raw ability alone could be decisive.
Full result
Winner: Ride Like A Girl (FR) at SP 4/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ride Like A Girl Fox #1 4/6
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2
Dark Tide Rising Fox #2 9/4
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3
Whin Cover 14/1
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4
Rhythm of Life 12/1
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5
Ebchester Fox #3 18/1
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6
Credit Union 200/1
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—
Lecanvey Lady 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ride Like A Girl 5/6 SP 4/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Dark Tide Rising 15/8 🥈 2ND
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3
Ebchester 18/1 5TH