BetMGM Handicap Stakes

16:10 Ascot Fri 02 Oct 2026 0m6f0y Class 2 Good 18 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Far Above Dream

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Far Above Dream (SR 99, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this 18-runner Class 2 handicap and carries 9-12 — a weight not prohibitive given the SR advantage. The 25% market steam is the single most compelling signal in the race: money has moved aggressively from an opening price, suggesting connections are strongly confident. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, and James Owen's 19% strike rate with Kieran Shoemark (14%, nearly 2,000 career rides) is a professional booking that fits the yard's #1 runner designation. The MarkMv:+6 is the one concern — running off a 6lb higher mark than last win — but the SR head-and-shoulders above any rival (next best Pilu and Ironwill at SR 95) means there is genuine ability in reserve to absorb the penalty. Each-way alternative: Ironwill. Main danger: Ironwill — Ironwill (SR 95, 5/1) has steamed 18% in the market, carries a light 8-11, has DistFit:+ at today's 6f trip, and a form line of 312043 shows enough class proximity — if Stuart Williams has found improvement between runs, the weight advantage over Far Above Dream (carrying 15lb more) on good ground is very real.

Verify· #21057

Full result

Winner: Goldmoyne (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.