← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Sneddy Eddie
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sneddy Eddie (SR:54, 9/1) is the standout pick despite a modest SR, backed by a confluence of signals that no other runner matches. The 26% market shortening from opening is the most aggressive move in the field and demands respect — money is clearly flowing in. Gordon Elliott's 18% strike rate is comfortably the best trainer figure here, dwarfing the 5-8% operators behind most rivals. The MarkMv:-32 indicates a massive handicap drop, suggesting connections have found a very winnable opportunity at the right level. Course:W1P1 at Bellewstown provides track familiarity that distance/going concerns (DistFit:? GoingFit:-) partially offset — Elliott rarely runs horses in unsuitable conditions without a plan. Each-way alternative: Sir Trancealot. Main danger: Sir Trancealot — Sir Trancealot (SR:58, 5/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field, has a 21% market move inward, and is trained by J.P. Murtagh with Ben Coen aboard — both operating at 11% strike rates, the strongest jockey-trainer combination in the race outside of Elliott.
Full result
Winner: Maxwell Smart (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Maxwell Smart 11/4
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2
Anightaway 5/1
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3
Lily Parr Fox #3 3/1
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4
Searcog 10/3
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5
Kartayaz 28/1
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6
Sir Trancealot Fox #2 5/1
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7
Money Shuffler 33/1
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8
Annacroft 50/1
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9
Haughty 28/1
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10
One For Teigan 66/1
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11
Courtlough Gula 33/1
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—
Sneddy Eddie Fox #1 SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sneddy Eddie 9/1
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2
Sir Trancealot 5/1 6TH
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3
Lily Parr 10/3 🥉 3RD