← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Save The Sixes
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Save The Sixes carries the highest SR in the field at 84, and at 9-9 holds a meaningful weight advantage over the top-weighted Duchess Of Kenli (10-1). The market has firmed 7% into 15/8, indicating professional support, and trainer Jessica Harrington (11% strike rate, 1,615 runners) alongside jockey W.J. Lee (16% strike rate, 1,883 runners) is a high-quality booking that screams confidence. The form figure of '81' is recent — last run 44 days ago — and while DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown, the horse is not proven against these conditions rather than proven poor, which is a very different thing in a limited 7-runner field of largely unexposed 3-year-olds. Each-way alternative: Star Strewn. Main danger: Tachos — Tachos (SR:80, 5/1) carries only 9-5, has a MarkMv:-1 in its favour, trainer Dermot Weld's 13% career strike rate is the best in the field among trainers with meaningful sample sizes, and the market has nudged in 5% — though the confirmed DistFit:- at this trip is the one reason it doesn't take the top spot.
Full result
Winner: Duchess Of Kenli (FR) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Duchess Of Kenli 4/1
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2
Excuzio Joe 11/1
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3
Tachos Fox #3 5/1
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4
Save The Sixes Fox #1 9/4
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5
Aquilla Star Fox #4 7/2
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—
Lady In Gold 11/2
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—
Star Strewn Fox #2 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Save The Sixes 15/8 🏁 4TH
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2
Star Strewn 6/1
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3
Tachos 5/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Aquilla Star 9/2 5TH