← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Bnaider
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Bnaider (SR:89, 13/8) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a margin of 9 points over the next best, and the market has backed that up emphatically with a 16% inward move to a clear favourite price. Harry Charlton operates at a 16% strike rate from 528 runners — a solid yard — and Lewis Edmunds at 12% from nearly 1,900 rides is competent. The 132-day absence is the one concern, but the form string 443-41 shows a winner last time out, and stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) is the only real negative against a field where no rival gets close on ability. At 9-12 Bnaider carries a workable weight and holds a clear SR edge over every rival. Each-way alternative: Albus Anne. Main danger: Arbaawy — Arbaawy (SR:76, 17/2) has shortened 8% in the market, Colin Keane is a high-quality booking at 16% strike rate from over 2,300 rides, and at 9-4 it is well-weighted — the GoingFit:- is a concern but if the ground rides less testing than expected it becomes a real threat to Bnaider.
Full result
Winner: Hello Cotai (IRE) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hello Cotai 20/1
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2
Arbaawy Fox #2 15/2
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3
Albus Anne Fox #3 16/1
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4
Maldives 13/2
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5
Bnaider Fox #1 7/4
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6
Oracle Mission 33/1
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7
Kudos Too 14/1
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8
Dancing Tiger 10/1
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9
Mr Seagull Fox #4 9/2
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10
Barry's Boy 33/1
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11
Felix Gem 16/1
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12
Alcaraz 40/1
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—
Morcar 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bnaider 13/8 5TH
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2
Arbaawy 17/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Albus Anne 10/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Mr Seagull 9/2 9TH