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Mr Fox’s call
Dc Cogent
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Dc Cogent (SR 73, 3/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Blue Force and carries the lightest weight of those three at 9-5, giving him a meaningful lbs advantage — 4lb over Blue Force and 7lb over Sergeant Mayer. His course record of W1P6 at Newcastle confirms he handles this track well, and trainer Bryan Smart (13% strike rate, 591 runners) pairs with Paul Mulrennan (14%, 2,425 runners) — the strongest jockey booking in the race by strike rate. A modest 8% market trim signals quiet confidence rather than a gamble, and the ClassMv:= means he's operating at his optimum level with no class-rise risk. The form figure '2' at last run from a recent 16-day turnaround suggests peak fitness. Each-way alternative: Blue Force. Main danger: Blue Force — Blue Force (SR 73, 9/2) matches Dc Cogent on SR, holds the strongest course record in the field (W2P3), and has steamed in 33% — the most significant market move of the day — suggesting significant support that cannot be dismissed.
Full result
Winner: Cotai Starlight (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cotai Starlight 13/2
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2
Blue Force Fox #2 5/1
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3
Sergeant Mayer Fox #3 4/1
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4
Powernap 50/1
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5
King of The Jungle Fox #4 12/1
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6
Golden Havana 14/1
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7
Mayflyer 14/1
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8
Celtic Arrow 11/1
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9
Dc Cogent Fox #1 9/4
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—
What A Tahoo 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dc Cogent 3/1 9TH
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2
Blue Force 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Sergeant Mayer 5/1 🥉 3RD
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4
King of The Jungle 10/1 5TH