← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Mr Moonshine
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Mr Moonshine (SR:79, 7/2, Wgt:9-10) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries the lightest competitive weight, giving him a genuine lbs edge over L'Eagle Aid (SR:75, 10-2) — a 6lb advantage. Crucially, his DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he is proven at today's trip and on this going, which are the two conditions most likely to expose inexperienced rivals. The market has shortened 27% since opening — meaningful money coming for a horse whose last run (form rightmost digit '0') on a tight 13-day turnaround might concern casual punters, but connections are clearly happy to run him quickly again. At 7/2 with the best SR in the field, proven distance and going credentials, and strong market support, the case is multi-signal. Each-way alternative: Jujubella. Main danger: L'Eagle Aid — L'Eagle Aid (SR:75, 11/4) is rated second in the field and carries a MarkMv:-5 drop in mark, meaning the handicapper has handed connections a potential opportunity; despite the 12% drift, the drop in class mark and Course:W1P1 record at Newcastle give him every chance of reversing form with Mr Moonshine if the pace scenario suits.
Full result
Winner: Jujubella (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jujubella Fox #3 11/2
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2
Junkyard Dog 9/2
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3
L'Eagle Aid Fox #2 9/4
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4
Mr Moonshine Fox #1 5/2
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5
Rodoya 28/1
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6
Sogniamo 33/1
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7
Beckon 20/1
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8
Clansman Fox #4 12/1
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9
Sophiesticate 50/1
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10
Moon Sniper 40/1
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—
Molinari 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mr Moonshine 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
L'Eagle Aid 11/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Jujubella 7/2 SP 13/2 🏆 WON
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4
Clansman 14/1 8TH