Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

20:00 Kempton (AW) Wed 30 Sep 2026 1m2f219y Class 4 Good to Soft 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Cape Fear

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Cape Fear (SR:96, 11/4) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a favourable weight of 9-6, making it the lightest-weighted among the top-rated trio. The Andrew Balding/Oisin Murphy combination is elite — Balding strikes at 18% with 3,029 runners and Murphy at 22% from 2,741 — and the market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming quiet stable confidence. Dropping two class tiers is a major advantage, and DistFit:+ confirms capability at this trip. The +8 mark rise is the one caveat, but the class drop more than compensates on a 3yo with a recent form line of 213215 showing consistent competitiveness. Each-way alternative: Interstate. Main danger: Interstate — Interstate (SR:97, 3/1) holds the highest SR in the field, carries only 9-4 — 2lb less than Cape Fear — has DistFit:+ and the formidable Gosden/Buick booking (24%/25% strike rates), though the 28% market drift is a concern that prevents it topping this analysis.

Verify· #20740

Full result

Winner: Time Thief (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Time Thief Tom Clover · Cieren Fallon 9/1
2 Cape Fear Fox #1 Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy 10/3
3 Tiernan Fox #3 Iain Jardine · Tom Marquand 5/2
4 Nicator Kevin Philippart de Foy · Daniel Muscutt 40/1
5 Deedaydiva Alan King · Rossa Ryan 50/1
6 Rastnet Fox #4 John Butler · Billy Loughnane 9/1
7 Fantasy Believer Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark 28/1
8 Forever Penywern Warren Greatrex · Sean Levey 17/2
9 Tambora Richard Hannon · Pat Dobbs 10/1
10 Interstate Fox #2 John & Thady Gosden · William Buick 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Cape Fear 11/4 🥈 2ND
2 Interstate 3/1 10TH
3 Tiernan 4/1 🥉 3RD
4 Rastnet 15/2 6TH