← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Kind of Blue
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 4/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Kind of Blue (SR:121, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Wise Approach (SR:111) and 13 ahead of Montassib (SR:108). The market has backed this up with a 14% inward move, confirming stable confidence. James Doyle (21% career strike rate) is the obvious yard number-one booking from the Fanshawe stable, while stablemate Heathcliff draws Daniel Muscutt at a far lower level. The combination of DistFit:+, ClassMv:↓1 (dropping a tier easier), and MarkMv:-3 (running off a mark 3lb below last win) all align in favour of a performance here, and the 5-year-old's Course:W1P1 at Kempton shows familiarity with the track. Each-way alternative: Montassib. Main danger: Wise Approach — Wise Approach (SR:111, 9/4) carries the lightest weight at 9-3, is trained by the in-form Charlie Appleby yard (33% career strike rate) with William Buick aboard (25%), and the ClassMv:↓1 plus MarkMv:-2 give it a legitimate chance if the market drift is explained by the going uncertainty rather than fitness concerns.
Full result
Winner: Kind Of Blue (GB) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kind of Blue Fox #1 13/8
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2
Mitbaahy 7/1
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3
Montassib Fox #3 9/1
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4
Wise Approach Fox #2 2/1
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5
Spy Chief 15/2
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6
Heathcliff 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kind of Blue 11/8 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Wise Approach 9/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Montassib 6/1 🥉 3RD