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Mr Fox’s call
Karakula Dancer
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Karakula Dancer (SR:73, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin over Hove Ranger (SR:72) and carries a manageable 9-8 — lighter than Squiffy's 9-12 — while the market has moved aggressively inward by 40%, the strongest steamering signal in the race. The Course:W1P2 record at Kempton confirms this track suits, and the DistFit:~ on today's mile is workable for a 3yo that has been running consistently at this level (ClassMv:=, MarkMv:+1 is negligible). The 3yo claiming jockey Alice Bond (5lb) effectively reduces the weight burden further, reinforcing the lbs edge over rivals carrying more. The combination of top SR, course form, and the most decisive market move in the field is a compelling multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Hove Ranger. Main danger: Hove Ranger — Hove Ranger (SR:72, 3/1) matches Karakula Dancer on SR, carries a featherweight 9-4, boasts Course:W1P1 at Kempton, and Hector Crouch's 18% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the field — the drift from opening is the one concern, but the weight advantage at comparable ability is a genuine threat.
Full result
Winner: Hove Ranger (FR) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hove Ranger Fox #2 5/2
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2
Mr Fustic 5/1
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3
Melodical 16/1
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4
Karakula Dancer Fox #1 3/1
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5
Lovely Jubly Fox #4 11/2
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6
Squiffy Fox #3 14/1
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7
Red Moon 14/1
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8
Beta Reader 33/1
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9
Amber Honey 15/2
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10
Open To Offers 25/1
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11
Exquisite Skye 50/1
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Forca Timao 12/1
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Barbuda Bay -
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Green Interlude -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Karakula Dancer 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Hove Ranger 3/1 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
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3
Squiffy 12/1 6TH
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4
Lovely Jubly 13/2 5TH