← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Staysound Susie
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Staysound Susie (SR 82, 4/1) is the joint-highest rated runner and the market has steamed in 15% since opening, the strongest positive market move in the field. She carries 10-4 but compensates with a Course:W1P2 record at Cork — a specialist advantage on a track where course form is genuinely meaningful — plus a GoingFit:~ on today's good ground and a DistFit:~ at 6f. The form string shows a '1' just two runs back and the MarkMv:+1 is negligible. Jockey Jimmy Dalton is a low-volume rider but the money coming into this horse at 4/1 suggests stable confidence, and A. Slattery at 11% strike rate is respectable for the yard. With the top-rated horse at a fair price, course-proven, and clearly fancied by connections, she represents the clearest convergence of signals in the field. Each-way alternative: By The Lake. Main danger: By The Lake — By The Lake (SR 83, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-11, holds DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the strongest distance-and-going credentials in the race — and is ridden by Colin Keane (16% career strike rate), though the 11% market drift is the one concern that prevents her from being the primary selection.
Full result
Winner: Saint Agatha (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Saint Agatha 16/1
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2
My Cubby Bear 16/1
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3
Forza Magico Fox #3 9/2
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4
Rosato 7/1
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5
Motta Alta Fox #4 9/2
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6
Baiana 10/1
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7
Staysound Susie Fox #1 7/2
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8
Flash Of Fire 15/2
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By The Lake Fox #2 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4