← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Book of Life
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Book of Life (SR 63, 11/4) leads the field on Saturday Rating and combines that with the strongest market move in the race — an 18% shortening — signalling informed money. The course record of W1P8 at Wolverhampton is the standout course-specialist profile in this field, confirming the track holds no fears. A mark drop of 6lb since last win is a tangible handicapper's gift, and Patrick Morris's booking of Paddy Bradley (10% strike rate, 1,099 career rides — experience counts here) looks purposeful. The headgear (p) is retained from recent runs so no adjustment risk. DistFit and GoingFit both read '~' which is adequate rather than ideal, but the SR advantage plus the market steam plus the course form collectively outweigh those modest concerns. Each-way alternative: African Spirit. Main danger: African Spirit — African Spirit (SR 62, 5/2) has steamed in 16% from opening, is partnered by the field's highest-profile jockey Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3,069 career rides), and at 9-5 carries 4lb less than Book of Life — a meaningful weight concession that could matter over a mile and 142 yards.
Full result
Winner: African Spirit (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
African Spirit Fox #2 5/2
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2
Dumfries 7/2
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3
Spring 40/1
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4
Lhebayeb 18/1
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5
Knightmare Fox #3 13/2
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6
Nicely Curved 10/1
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7
First Encounter 11/1
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8
Hammal 250/1
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—
Book of Life Fox #1 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Book of Life 11/4
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2
African Spirit 5/2 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Knightmare 7/1 5TH