← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Mythical Isle
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Mythical Isle (SR:62, 7/2, 9-6) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Kev and benefits from the lightest weight among the top-rated trio, giving a 1lb edge on Kev and 7lb on Equion. The standout signal is the Mkt:in46% — the sharpest market move in the field by some distance, indicating significant informed support from a relatively open morning price. Course form of W1P4 at Wolverhampton confirms this track suits, and although GoingFit:- is a concern, the artificial surface here moderates true going influence considerably. Trainer Patrick Morris at 8% strike rate is modest, but the market is clearly overriding that reservation. Each-way alternative: Kev. Main danger: Kev — Kev (SR:62, 5/2, 9-7) matches Mythical Isle on SR, carries only 1lb more, and Hector Crouch's 18% strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic among the contenders, making him the most plausible alternative if the market support for Mythical Isle proves misplaced.
Full result
Winner: Kev (GB) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kev Fox #2 5/2
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2
Mythical Isle Fox #1 5/1
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3
Cy Twombly 15/2
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4
Offiah's Boy 11/2
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5
Equion Fox #3 5/2
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6
Coiled 33/1
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7
Liberty Bird 10/1
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8
Belltony 80/1
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—
Tortola 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mythical Isle 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Kev 5/2 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Equion 5/2 5TH