← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Billy Bathgate
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Billy Bathgate (SR:53, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in this weak Class 6 field and brings the standout course record of W1P4 at Wolverhampton — course specialists on AW tracks have a proven edge and five visits here already show he handles this track. The market has steamed in 20% since opening, the strongest positive market move in the field, signalling informed confidence. Clifford Lee (17% career SR) is a capable booking and 9-12 is not an onerous weight burden given the opposition. The moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the main caveats, but with a +2 mark move he is still competitive off his current mark and his SR of 53 comfortably leads the field. Each-way alternative: D Day Major Winter. Main danger: D Day Major Winter — D Day Major Winter (SR:50, 11/4) is the market favourite with a top trainer-jockey combination in James Owen (19%) and Cieren Fallon (18%), and at only 4 years old has more improvement potential than the older runners, making him the most likely alternative winner despite the DistFit:? flag at this trip.
Full result
Winner: Lilykoy (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lilykoy 11/2
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2
Individualiste 40/1
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3
Notable Charm Fox #3 6/5
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4
Echo Valley Fox #4 16/1
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5
Billy Bathgate Fox #1 7/1
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6
Freewheelin 200/1
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7
D Day Major Winter Fox #2 11/4
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8
Nature 25/1
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9
Razzo Italiano 22/1
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10
Turton 66/1
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11
Masterpiece 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Billy Bathgate 13/2 5TH
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2
D Day Major Winter 11/4 7TH
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3
Notable Charm 11/10 🥉 3RD
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4
Echo Valley 10/1 🏁 4TH