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Mr Fox’s call
Arundel
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Arundel leads the field on SR (73) and has compressed from an opening price to 6/4 with a 14% market move in — the most significant steaming in this field. The recent form string 245-31 shows a win and a runner-up in the two most recent starts, indicating peak form heading into today. Ed Dunlop (12% strike rate, 1,108 runners) sends Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate) — a strong booking in a Class 6 handicap. The GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on the good Wolverhampton surface, but the weight of 10-0 is manageable given the SR advantage of at least 8lb over the next-best realistic rival, and no other runner in the field combines market confidence, recent winning form, and SR leadership. Each-way alternative: Golspie. Main danger: Golspie — Golspie (SR:72, 9/2) is almost the equal of Arundel on SR, has posted an impressive recent sequence of 436331 culminating in a last-time-out win, carries 6lb less weight (9-6 vs 10-0), and holds two places at this course — though the confirmed poor GoingFit is the one factor that prevents it from being the pick.
Full result
Winner: Sevenkingsmustdie (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sevenkingsmustdie Fox #3 9/4
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2
Currumbin 13/2
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3
Arundel Fox #1 5/4
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4
Golspie Fox #2 15/2
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5
Boubyan 12/1
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6
Vinny's Dream 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3