← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

16:45 Sedgefield Tue 29 Sep 2026 2m0f178y Class 4 Good 4 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Red Shea silks

Red Shea

SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 8/11F Est. 35%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Red Shea (SR:110, 15/8) carries the lightest weight at 11-0 alongside Rescheduled, and crucially shows a 15% market move in — the strongest market confidence signal in this field. Its SR of 110 matches the top-rated runners and jockey Mr H C Swan carries a 19% career strike rate, the best in the field among the four. With only one prior run (a second), the form is limited but the recency (57 days) is solid and the market's aggressive shortening from 15% in is the key differentiator over a small four-runner field. Each-way alternative: Lower De Couely. Main danger: Lower De Couely — Lower De Couely (SR:118, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries the lightest weight at 10-9, has a winning run on its sole outing, and is trained by the high-volume Greenall & Guerriero yard (15% strike rate) — a compelling package that could easily overhaul Red Shea.

Full result

Winner: Red Shea (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Red Shea silks Red Shea Fox #1 Cian Hughes · Mr H C Swan 7/4
  2. 2 Rescheduled silks Rescheduled Fox #3 Donald McCain · Theo Gillard 11/2
  3. 3 Close House silks Close House Chris Grant · Danny McMenamin 10/11
  4. — Lower De Couely silks Lower De Couely Fox #2 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · Jack Tudor 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Red Shea silks Red Shea 15/8 SP 8/11F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Lower De Couely silks Lower De Couely 4/1
  3. 3 Rescheduled silks Rescheduled 11/2 🥈 2ND