← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Premier Road Markings Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dream Diamond
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Dream Diamond (SR 107, 2/1) is the class leader in this five-runner Class 4 field and combines the strongest rating with a MarkMv:-10 drop — running off a mark 10lb below its last win — which is a meaningful concession in a small-field handicap chase. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's 2m trip on good ground, and the market has shortened 7% from opening, suggesting quiet but genuine support. Trainer James Owen at 19% and jockey Jonathan Burke at 15% represent a capable combination, and the 12-0 top-weight is manageable given the SR advantage over the field. The only concern is a recent form string of U23363 that shows inconsistency, but the last-time-out third at a higher mark and the 14-day fresher turnaround are positive signs. Each-way alternative: Lady Kara. Main danger: Lady Kara — Lady Kara (SR 101, 4/1) carries 7lb less than Dream Diamond, has a 10% market-in move confirming stable confidence, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ both green, and trainer Dr Richard Newland fires at 21% — the best strike rate in the field — making a progressive 5-year-old on a flat mark a live threat to reverse the SR differential through the weight advantage.
Full result
Winner: Jet Of Dreams (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jet of Dreams Fox #3 3/1
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2
Lady Kara Fox #2 9/2
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3
Mary 11/4
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4
Dream Diamond Fox #1 2/1
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5
Kinbara Firstdraft 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3